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Monday, 28 December 2020

Effect of ModiNomics -India will be 3rd Largest Economy by 2026.


Effect of ModiNomics


According to UK's leading economic forecasts and analysis  Centre for Economics and Business Research
(CEBR),India to become 5th largest economy in 2025, 3rd largest by 2030.

But I think India could be 3rd largest Economy by 2026.......due Modi's Economic policy, ModiNomics-
big investment in infrastructure (NIP), Digital india, Make in India, Disinvestment, Aushman Bharat healthcare scheme, Aspirational Districts Programmes, Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyaan and Make in India (modi govt offers land twice Luxembourg's size to firms leaving China .India could expect 2000 MNCs manufacturing base from China to India in the next 2-3 years).

We know a study by ✔Japan Centre for Economic Research in December last year, just before the outbreak of the pandemic said India would surpass Japan to become the third largest economy by 2029.

We also know Global financial services firm ✔Morgan Stanley ,2017report  -India likely to become a $6 trillion economy in the next 10 years. India will become the third-largest economy in the world by 2027, mainly because of its efforts at digitisation.

I think india would be  Definitely 3rd largest Economy by 2026.....due Modi's Growth oriented Economic policy and reforms......I think ModiNomics =Aatmanirbhar Bharat.


āĻŦ্āϰিāϟিāĻļ āĻĨিāĻ™্āĻ• āϟ্āϝাāĻ™্āĻ• āϏেāύ্āϟাāϰ āĻĢāϰ āχāĻ•āύāĻŽিāĻ•্āϏ āĻ…্āϝাāύ্āĻĄ āĻŦিāϜāύেāϏ āϰিāϏাāϰ্āϚ (CEBR)  āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•াāĻļিāϤ āĻŦাāϰ্āώিāĻ• āϰিāĻĒোāϰ্āϟে āĻŦāϞা āĻšā§ŸেāĻ›ে,⧍ā§Ļ⧍ā§Ģ āϏাāϞে āĻŦ্āϰিāϟেāύāĻ•ে āϟāĻĒāĻ•ে āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦেāϰ āĻĒāĻž্āϚāĻŽ āĻŦৃāĻšāϤ্āϤāĻŽ āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύীāϤি āĻšāĻŦে āĻ­াāϰāϤ। āφāϰ ⧍ā§Ļ⧍⧭ āϏাāϞে āϜাāϰ্āĻŽাāύি  āĻāĻŦং ⧍ā§Ļā§Šā§Ļ āϏাāϞে āϜাāĻĒাāύāĻ•ে āĻĒিāĻ›āύে āĻĢেāϞে āĻ­াāϰāϤেāϰ āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύীāϤি āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦে āϤৃāϤী⧟ āϏ্āĻĨাāύে āωāĻ ে āφāϏāĻŦে। āϏাāĻŽāύে āĻĨাāĻ•āĻŦে āĻļুāϧু āφāĻŽেāϰিāĻ•া  āφāϰ āϚিāύ ।

āφāĻŽি āĻŽāύে āĻ•āϰি ⧍ā§Ļ⧍ā§Ŧ āϏাāϞেāϰ āĻŽāϧ্āϝে, āϜাāĻĒাāύāĻ•ে āĻĒিāĻ›āύে āĻĢেāϞে āĻ­াāϰāϤেāϰ āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύীāϤি āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦে āϤৃāϤী⧟
āϏ্āĻĨাāύে āωāĻ ে āφāϏāϤে āĻĒাāϰে। āĻ•lāϰāύ  āĻ…āĻŦāĻ•াāĻ াāĻŽো āωāύ্āύāϝ়āύ ,āĻĄিāϜিāϟাāϞ āχāύ্āĻĄিāϝ়া, āĻŽেāĻ• āχāύ  āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒ āχāύ্āĻĄিāϝ়া, āĻĄিāϏāχāύāĻ­েāϏ্āϟāĻŽেāύ্āϟ, āφāωāĻļāĻŽাāύ āĻ­াāϰāϤ āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝāϏেāĻŦা āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒ,  āϜেāϞাāĻ—ুāϞি āĻ•āϰ্āĻŽāϏূāϚি, āφāϤ্āĻŽāύিāϰ্āĻ­āϰ āĻ­াāϰāϤ āĻ…āĻ­িāϝাāύ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ .





 

Tuesday, 22 December 2020

Farmers Income Directly Depends on Landholding Size.

Farmers Income Directly  Depends on Landholding Size.


Rs 6426,national monthly income of an  Agricultural Households ....very poor condition.

#West Bengal Agricultural Households income only Rs 3980 per month,While Bihar Rs 3558, Rajasthan 7350, Punjab Rs 18059....West Bengal is the largest food grain producing state in India.


I have lots of questions in my mind🤔 ??? Specially on #West Bengal Agriculture.


I think structural reforms require in West Bengal......we know 96% farmers are small and marginal farmers in West Bengal.....average landholding size  0.5 Hectare  (1.9 Bigha) .... while Rajasthan 1.9 Hectare (7.22 Bigha) and  Punjab 4 Hectare (15 Bigha).


I think farmers income directly depends on landholding size.....and Bengal's landholding size 0.5 Ha (1.9 bigha)....while national average 1.16 Ha (4.5 bigha).

we know 70% population of West Bengal  depends on agriculture for their livelihood....no alternative source of income.That's why bengal's farmers income (Rs 3980 /month) below the national average(Rs 6426/month).


West Bengal needs alternative source of income....West Bengal needs big investment, Industry,Trade and large scale recruitment in government sector.

Thursday, 17 December 2020

Effect of ModiNomics:India’s FX Reserves can touch USD 1trillion mark in next 5yrs.


Another Big Achievement of Modi Government. On June 5, 2020 First time in country’s  history india's FX Reserves cross Half Trillion Dollar Mark....and On  4 December 2020,it crossed USD 580 Billion Mark. 


FOREX RESERVES ⏫

March 2004 - March 2014-
India's Forex reserves increased a total $197 billion (from $107Bn to $304 Bn).

✔ 2014-4DEC 2020-
Under Modi Govt (2014-4Dec 2020) total  Forex Reserves increases approx $276 billion (From $304Bn-$580Bn).

I think end of  March 2025 India's Forex Reserves could hit $1tn Mark.Due to Make in India ,Atmanirbhar Bharath and vocal for local campaign.

India needs to focus on Agriculture sector ,India can save/earn $30 -40 billion foreign currency,per annum from Edible oil ,soybean and Medicinal plants.

Agriran sector can contribute $30-$40 billion Foreign Exchange per annum. 

(1)India imported 15 million tonnes Edible oil,at a cost of $10 billion Foreign Exchange....india should increase edible oil production.india can save $10 billion Foreign currency annually.
(2)We know Global soybean market approx $200 billion...but India's share in global soybean market negligible almost zero  .... top soybean export countries US,Brazil, Argentina and China. 
(3)The total world herbal trade is currently $120 billion... India's contribution
 very poor,herbs export worth was $330 Million in 2017-18,though India is a Agriculture based country.
We know  USA top agricultural exporter around $150 billion, 2nd Brazil  $110 billion while india only $30 billion. 
India needs to focus on agricultural export.....i think  Edible oil, soybean and Medicinal plants can contribute additional $30 billion FX currency per annum. 






Friday, 11 December 2020

A new india is emerging under Modi Govt. India will overtake China by 2040.

india will overtake China by  2040.

✔A new India is emerging under Modi Government. 

✔6 Saad Bemisaal  Modi Government. 

Indian Economy size

Today, India’s economy is $3 trillion..it took 67 years 1947-2014 to become $ 2trillion and took only 5 years  to become $ 3 trillion...... Modi govt plans to meet its $5-trillion economy target by 2024.

Healthcare

Indian's healthcare facilities improved under PM Modi.Modi Govt has taken several initiatives,since 2014  ,45% increase in the number of medical colleges,48%rise in the number of undergraduate medical seats and a 79% jump in post-graduate medical seats. A total of 114 new government hospitals will come up in the next three years.

We know Ayushman Bharat scheme,one of finest health care scheme by modi govt...provide health coverage to approximately 50 crore citizens of India. Moreover, it offers beneficiaries with an average coverage amount of Rs. 5 Lakh.

We also know Ayushman Bharat scheme has provided free treatment to more than 1.26 crore beneficiaries since its launch in September 2018.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

India's FX Reserves could reach $1tn by 2025.India's forex reserves stands all time high $572bn (Nov2020) under modi govt......it was $108 bn (Dec2004), $283 bn (Dec2009),$319bn (Dec2014),$454bn (Dec2019).

Road Building

India's rate of road building has accelerated since 2010s. It averaged about 12 kilometres (7.5 mi) per day in 2014–15 and 30 kilometres (19 mi) per day in 2018–19. Modi govt target is to build 40 kilometres (25 mi) of highways per day.

FDI Inflows

The FDI inflows was $36 billion during 2013-14......fdi grew under modi govt  2019-20 to $73 billion.....expected to  $150 billion by 2021-22.

Near 1,000 companies want to shift from China to India.

Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana

One of the Biggest  #Pro-poor policy after Independence....was launched by Hon'ble Prime Minister Narendra Modiji ,in June 2015 to fulfill the housing needs of rural and urban poor.

Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) aims to fuel the concept of ‘housing for all’.

This scheme proposes to build more than 2 crore houses by 2022 for the urban and rural population of India.

The scheme is for the benefit of economically weaker sections, lower income groups, urban poor and rural poor.

NITI Aayog

Ever since India got independence, a lot of planning and execution was done on the central level by Yojana Ayog (Planning Commission). Modi government scrapped the planning commission and introduced Niti Aayog, which promises equal power to the states on matters of planning. Also, the government has scrapped five-year plans from 2017 and will now have 3-year plans and 15-year plans, with clear agendas and objectives. Niti Aayog calls for supporting entrepreneurs and MSMEs to boost the employment in all sections. Niti Aayog works as a corporate entity with a CEO and answerable representatives.

I think Under the dynamic leadership of Hon'ble PM Modiji, India will be $5 trillion Economy by 2024..... $12 trillion by 2030.Strongly believe that india will overtake China by  2040.

Friday, 13 November 2020

DIGHA The Hidden Treasure of West Bengal

 DIGHA The Hidden Treasure  of West Bengal


Digha can attract Big-Ticket Domestic and Foreign investments .

Dihga the hidden treasures of West Bengal,huge investment potential in Real estate,Hotel, Hospital,wind-solar power,sea port , Logistics Fisheries,Shipyard, Amusement Park,Theme park,Film city etc.Direct and indirect employment opportunities 1lakh.

Digha can emerge as a Top  Coastal City in the World.Digha can attract 10 million tourist per annum.Per capita income of Digha could reach $15,000 (Rs 10 Lakh) from $1500 (Rs 1lakh) in the next 7-8 years.

✔Film-based Entertainment Hub

DIGHA can emarge as a đŸŽŦ Film-based Entertainment Hub.Digha hold huge potential to emerge as a top investment destination đŸŽŦ Film city, 🎡Amusement park,Theme park ,Wind-solar park(Energy Tourism) etc ...Digha can attract 1 cr tourist per year.We know 2013-14 tourists footfall was 27 lakh, in 2018-19 it was 42 lakh(4.2 million).

We know Entertainment industry one of the fastest-growing industry in india ..due to  increasing purchasing capacity. ..rural development. ..urbanization and smart Cities.  Plus, by end of 2020 India  to be a world's youngest country,With an average age of 29.

We know  Amusement park industry in India is worth around  Rs 9,000 crore, expected to reach more than Rs 30,000 by 2025.... needs govt support.

āĻĻীāϘা āĻ•āϝ়েāĻ• āĻšাāϜlāϰ āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āĻŦিāύিāϝ়োāĻ— āφāĻ•āϰ্āώāĻŖ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে■ āϏৌāϰ āĻļāĻ•্āϤি, āĻŦাāϝ়ু āĻŦিāĻĻ্āϝুā§Ž āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒ, āφāĻŦাāϏāύ ,āĻšোāϟেāϞ āĻāĻŦং āĻĒāϰ্āϝāϟāύ āĻ–াāϤে■āĻ•āϰ্āĻŽāϏংāϏ্āĻĨাāύ āϤৈāϰি āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে  āĻ•āϝ়েāĻ• āϞāĻ•্āώ.

āĻĻীāϘা āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦেāϰ āĻ…āύ্āϝāϤāĻŽ āϜāύāĻĒ্āϰিāϝ় āϏāĻŽুāĻĻ্āϰāϏৈāĻ•āϤ  āϏৌāϰ āĻļāĻ•্āϤি  āĻāĻŦং  āωāχāύ্āĻĄ āĻĒাāĻ“āϝ়াāϰ āĻšাāĻŦ āĻšিāϏাāĻŦে āφāĻŦিāϰ্āĻ­ূāϤ āĻšāϤে āĻĒাāϰে.āĻĻীāϘা āϏৌāϰ āĻļāĻ•্āϤি, āĻŦাāϝ়ু āĻŦিāĻĻ্āϝুā§Ž āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒ ,āφāĻŦাāϏāύ  āĻšোāϟেāϞ āĻāĻŦং āĻĒāϰ্āϝāϟāύ āĻ–াāϤে āĻ•āĻŽāĻĒāĻ•্āώে 20,000 āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āĻŦিāύিāϝ়োāĻ— āφāĻ•āϰ্āώāĻŖ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে.

āϤাāϜāĻĒুāϰ āĻ•āĻŽāĻĒāĻ•্āώে 30,000 āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āĻŦিāύিāϝ়োāĻ— āφāĻ•āϰ্āώāĻŖ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে.āĻ—āĻ­ীāϰ āϏāĻŽুāĻĻ্āϰ āĻŦāύ্āĻĻāϰ, āϤāϰāϞীāĻ•ৃāϤ āĻĒ্āϰাāĻ•ৃāϤিāĻ• āĻ—্āϝাāϏ (LNG ),āĻ…āĻŦāĻ•াāĻ াāĻŽো āωāύ্āύāϝ়āύ, āφāĻŦাāϏāύ āĻāĻŦং āĻĒāϰ্āϝāϟāύ āĻ–াāϤে.

āĻ–āĻĄ়āĻ—āĻĒুāϰ- āĻĻীāϘা -āĻŽেāĻĻিāύীāĻĒুāϰāĻ•ে Kharagpur-Digha -Midnapore  #Vidyasagar Special Tourist zone  āĻšিāϏাāĻŦে āĻ—ā§œে āϤোāϞাāϰ āĻĒāϰিāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒāύা āĻ—্āϰāĻšāĻŖ āĻ•āϰা āĻšোāĻ•. project āϟি āĻŽেāĻĻিāύীāĻĒুāϰ-āĻŦাঁāĻ•ুāĻĄ়া -āĻĒুāϰুāϞিāϝ়া āϏāĻš āĻ—োāϟা āϰাāϜ্āϝেāϰ  āφāϰ্āĻĨ-āϏাāĻŽাāϜিāĻ• āωāύ্āύ⧟āύেāϰ āĻĒাāĻļাāĻĒাāĻļি āĻ•āϰ্āĻŽāϏংāϏ্āĻĨাāύ āϤৈāϰি āĻ•āϰāĻŦে  āĻ•āϝ়েāĻ• āϞāĻ•্āώ.

āĻĻীāϘাāϝ় 2013-14 āϏাāϞে āĻĒāϰ্āϝāϟāĻ•āĻĻেāϰ āϏংāĻ–্āϝা āĻ›িāϞ 27 āϞāĻ•্āώ, 2018-19 āϏাāϞে āĻāϟি āĻ›িāϞ āĻŦৃāĻĻ্āϧি āĻĒlāϝ় 42 āϞāĻ•্āώে, āφāĻ—াāĻŽী  5-6āĻŦāĻ›āϰে āĻĒāϰ্āϝāϟāĻ•āĻĻেāϰ āϏংāĻ–্āϝা 1 āĻ•োāϟি āĻ›াāĻĄ়িāϝ়ে āϝেāϤে āĻĒাāϰে । 

āĻĻিāϘাāĻ•ে āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦāĻŽাāύেāϰ đŸŽŦ āĻĢিāϞ্āĻŽ āϏিāϟি, 🎡🎠āĻŦিāύোāĻĻāύ āĻĒাāϰ্āĻ•, āĻĨিāĻŽ āĻĒাāϰ্āĻ• āωāχāύ্āĻĄ -āϏোāϞাāϰ āĻĒাāϰ্āĻ• āĻāĻŦং āĻĒāϰ্āϝāϟāύ āĻ•েāύ্āĻĻ্āϰ  āĻšিāϏাāĻŦে āĻ—ā§œে   āϤোāϞাāϰ āĻĒāϰিāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒāύা āĻ—্āϰāĻšāĻŖ āĻ•āϰা āĻšোāĻ• । āĻĻিāύ āĻĻিāύ āĻ­োāĻ•্āϤাāĻĻেāϰ āφāĻŽোāĻĻ āĻĒ্āϰāĻŽোāĻĻ āĻŦিāύোāĻĻāύ āφāϚāϰāĻŖ āĻŦāĻĻāϞে āϝাāϚ্āĻ›ে,  āĻŦিāύোāĻĻāύ āĻĒাāϰ্āĻ• āĻļিāϞ্āĻĒ āĻ­াāϰāϤেāϰ āĻ…āύ্āϝāϤāĻŽ āĻĻ্āϰুāϤ āĻŦāϰ্āϧāύāĻļীāϞ āĻļিāϞ্āĻĒ।āĻļিāϞ্āĻĒ āϟি  āĻŦাāϰ্āώিāĻ• 4 āĻ•োāϟি āĻ­োāĻ•্āϤা āφāĻ•āϰ্āώāĻŖ āĻ•āϰে, āĻŦāϰ্āϤāĻŽাāύ āĻŦাāϜাāϰেāϰ āφāĻ•াāϰ āĻĒ্āϰাāϝ় 9,000 āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āφāĻļেāĻĒাāĻļে āĻĒ্āϰাāϝ় 30,000 āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āĻļিāϞ্āĻĒ āĻšāϝ়ে āωāĻ āĻŦে āĻŦāĻ›āϰ 2025 , āĻ•্āϰāϝ়āĻ•্āώāĻŽāϤা āĻŦাāĻĄ়া.....āĻ—্āϰাāĻŽ āωāύ্āύāϝ়āύ ..... āύāĻ—āϰ āωāύ্āύāϝ়āύ -āϏ্āĻŽাāϰ্āϟ āϏিāϟি āĻ•াāϰāĻŖে  ।āĻĻ্āϰুāϤ āϚাāĻšিāĻĻা āĻ•াāϰāĻŖে āφāĻ—াāĻŽী āĻ•ā§ŸেāĻ• āĻŦāĻ›āϰেāϰ āĻŽāϧ্āϝে āύāϤুāύ āĻāĻ• āϞাāĻ– āĻ•āĻŽāϰ্āϏংāϏ্āĻĨাāύ āϏৃāώ্āϟি āĻšāĻŦে āĻ āĻ–াāϤে।

āĻĒāĻļ্āϚিāĻŽāĻŦāĻ™্āĻ—ে āĻŦিāύিāϝ়োāĻ—āĻŽুāĻ–ী āĻĒāϰিāĻŦেāĻļ āĻāĻŦং āĻĒ্āϰāϚাāϰāĻŖা āĻĻāϰāĻ•াāϰ।āĻĒāĻļ্āϚিāĻŽāĻŦāĻ™্āĻ—ে āĻŦāĻĄ় āϏāĻŽ্āĻ­াāĻŦāύা āϰāϝ়েāĻ›ে, āĻĒāĻļ্āϚিāĻŽāĻŦāĻ™্āĻ— āĻĻেāĻļী-āφāύ্āϤāϰ্āϜাāϤিāĻ• āĻŦিāύিāϝ়োāĻ—āĻ•াāϰীāĻĻেāϰ āĻ•াāĻ› āĻĨেāĻ•ে āĻ•āĻŽāĻĒāĻ•্āώে 20 āĻŦিāϞিāϝ়āύ āĻŽাāϰ্āĻ•িāύ āĻĄāϞাāϰ  āĻŦিāύিāϝ়োāĻ— āφāĻļা āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে।


Friday, 6 November 2020

West bengal holds huge potential to emerge as a Textile Manufacturing and Textile Machinery industry hub.

West bengal holds huge potential to emerge as a Textile Manufacturing  and Textile Machinery industry hub in India.



West Bengal can attract big tickets   investment USD 6-7 billion in Textile industry  & Textile Machinery industry.

We know In 2018 indian textile industry imported machinery and accessories worth  $4 billion.......We also know Indian Textile machinery industry likely to touch $6.9 billion /Rs 45,000 crore by 2022.......india's textiles  production may touch USD 650 billion(4.60 Lakh cr) by 2025.

A promising  Textile Market scenario 

1)West Bengal has Potential to become the next Textile hub of India,  Textile park -Jagdishpur,Ashoka nagar,Barasat ,Belur and Bankura  can attract investments of  USD 5 billion ......it can generate employment of more than one million.

These investment  will not only meet the requirements of West Bengal and rest of India(domestic Textile demand may cross  $350 billion by 2023 and export  more than $100 billion by 2023 )  but also meet substantial requirements from neighbouring countries like Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, Sri Lanka ,china, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines and other South Asian countries.

2)West Bengal , Orissa, Assam, jharkhand,Bihar and NE consumer based around 500 million.


Textile Machinery market size 

The global Textile Machinery market is valued at USD 40 billion  (2.80 lakh cr) in 2018 and Asia-Oceania had the largest market share of 88% in the global textile machinery .

WB has Potential to become the Textile Machinery manufacturing hub of India can attract  $2-3 billion investment   ....500 small and medium textile factories in and around West Bengal....neighbour Bangladesh has around 800 factories and Myanmar has 600 factories,Nepal 100 and Bhutan has 60 manufacturing units.

So,WB can fulfill machinery demand of domestic and neighbouring countries -Bangladesh,Mayanmar,Nepal, Bhutan and other South Asian countries.

-----------------

References 

*Textile machinery industry likely to touch Rs 45K cr by 2022 - The Economic Times 07-Oct-2015.

*Golden Era of Indian textile industry $650 billion opportunity by 2025 - Textile Magazine .www.indiantextilemagazine.in ›  04-Nov-2015.

*Textile machinery imports rise 24% in FY19 - The Hindu 09-Aug-2019.

*The global textile market size was valued at USD 925.3 billion in 2018.

Thursday, 5 November 2020

Joe Biden's "Made in America" & "Save the Middle Class to Save America" could boost US Economy from $22 trillion to $30 trillion by 2024

Joe Biden's "Made in America" and "Save the Middle Class to Save America" could boost US Economy from $22 trillion to $30 trillion by 2024.


Joe Biden Administration could boost US  economy from $22 trillion to $30 trillion by 2024.

I think Joe Biden's Economic policy will be more effective than Trump's economy.
we know middle class is the key engine of the American economy....and Biden's Economic vision is very clear: "Save the Middle Class to Save America"...I think America will be great again.
Accroding to Biden "This country wasn’t built by Wall Street bankers and CEOs and hedge fund managers. It was built by the American middle class,"...I think America will be great again under Joe Biden.

We know middle class is the heartbeat of the American economy. The middle class is the indispensable workforce and the all-important consumer. The great American entrepreneurs and inventors who have been vital to national success have come from the middle class.
I think middle class Joe Biden is America’s only hope.

Another big policy of Biden's "Made in America" plan stands as his economic nationalist alternative to Trump's "America First" policy. It would spend $400 billion in procurement, increasing the demand for American-made goods, as well as $300 billion in technological research and development. These investments would then go toward U.S. businesses that create products in fields including clean energy, cars, medicine, biotechnology, telecommunication and artificial intelligence.

Sunday, 1 November 2020

Rs 3000 crore Statue Of Unity can generate Rs 5 Lakh Crore Economic Ecosystem.


Rs 3000 Crore Statue Of Unity can generate  Rs 5 Lakh Crore Economic Ecosystem.


3000 ⤕⤰ोā¤Ą़ ⤕ी ⤏्⤟ै⤚्⤝ू ⤑ā¤Ģ ⤝ू⤍ि⤟ी 5 ⤞ा⤖ ⤕⤰ोā¤Ą़ ⤰ुā¤Ēā¤ ⤕ा ⤇⤕ो⤍ॉā¤Žि⤕ ⤇⤕ो⤏ि⤏्ā¤Ÿā¤Ž ā¤Ēैā¤Ļा ⤕⤰ ⤏⤕⤤ी ā¤šै। ā¤Ē्⤰⤤िā¤Ļि⤍ 2 ⤞ा⤖ ā¤Ē⤰्ā¤¯ā¤Ÿā¤•  ā¤•ो ⤆⤕⤰्⤎ि⤤ ⤕⤰ ⤏⤕⤤ी ā¤šै।


Sardar Patel's Statue of unity becomes a symbol of Nationalism,Unity and Integrity.

Rs 3000 crore Statue of unity  one of the finest investment of MODI govt....the statue can generate Rs 5 lakh Crore Economic activity in coming year in Tourism,Hotel, Travel,Food,Aviation,Transport and Real estate sector.

News published -✔  "Statue of Unity getting 30,000 visitors daily" (inaugurated 31 October 2018) .....so, we can expect in the coming years  100,000.....may be 200,000 visitors per day and expected  Economic activities may be several thousand Crore per day.

✔Many people think that Statue of Unity a waste of public money.....my analysis  statue of unity one of the  most cultural and  profitable investment by Modi Govt.....one of the finest investment  of Modi-govt.
Statue of unity can generate lakh of new jobs (direct-indirect) in Tourism and allied industry.

 ______
Ref-
✓Statue of Unity Is One of the World's Greatest Places | Time.com

✓Statue of Unity now getting 30k daily visitors: Guj officials -economictimes
03-Dec-2018.
✓Statue of Unity may boost Gujarat's annual tourist count to 75 million. www.business-standard.com 05-Dec-2018.
 

Thursday, 22 October 2020

Bengal Assembly elections 2021: Food processing industry may be a key issue.


Bengal Assembly elections 2021: Food processing industry may be a key issue.

 ā§¨ā§Ļ⧍⧧ āĻĒāĻļ্āϚিāĻŽ āĻŦāĻ™্āĻ— āĻŦিāϧাāύāϏāĻ­া āύিāϰ্āĻŦাāϚāύে āĻ–াāĻĻ্āϝ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•্āϰিāϝ়াāĻ•āϰāĻŖ āĻļিāϞ্āĻĒ āĻāĻ•āϟি āĻŽূāϞ āĻŦিāώāϝ় āĻšāϤে āĻĒাāϰে।

Post harvest losses one of Biggest problem in West Bengal.... Accroding to apex industry body ASSOCHAM report 2013 , West Bengal incurs post-harvest fruits and vegetable losses worth over Rs 13,600 crore annually.

The report points that lack of proper handling and an inadequate cold and frozen supply chain leads to losses of perishable food produce, such as fruit and vegetables.

We know West Bengal No1 in Agriculture.The state accounts 32% of potatoes, 29% pineapples, 17% of bananas and 16% of India’s rice production.

we know Malda for Mango and Litchi cultivation,  Siliguri for Pineapple, Hooghly for Potato,Murshidabad and Nadia for banana, North 24 Parganas for vegetables and Darjeeling for Tea.So,West Bengal could be an attractive destination for food processing companies.west bengal can attract big tickets investment in food processing sector.

West Bengal has a large potential of marketing because of strategic advantage of its position having international borders with Bangladesh, Bhutan and Nepal.

 The state also shares its borders with the states of Assam, Bihar, Orissa,Jharkhand  and Sikkim . Moreover, Kolkata, the state capital, is the gateway to the South-East Asian Countries. Because of this factor, the state can enjoys a large potential of  export of various food products particularly, fruits, vegetables etc to the different parts of the world and South-East Asian Countries.....but westbengal lose its demographic dividend.


Thursday, 8 October 2020

Public -Private partnership Model -Sustainable Solution for Rs 1750 crore Ghatal Master Plan.

✔Top unsolved project in West Bengal (since 1982).

Ghatal Master Plan for flood control.

✔Public -Private partnership Model (PPP) can solve Rs 1750 cr or $250 million (Centre: state: Private  50:25:25) Ghatal master plan. 

āϘাāϟাāϞ āĻŽাāϏ্āϟাāϰ āĻĒ্āϞ্āϝাāύ  -āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒāϟি  āĻĒূāϰ্āĻŦ āĻ“ āĻĒāĻļ্āϚিāĻŽ  āĻŽেāĻĻিāύীāĻĒুāϰেāϰ āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύৈāϤিāĻ• āĻŦিāĻ•াāĻļেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āĻ…āϤ্āϝāύ্āϤ āĻ—ুāϰুāϤ্āĻŦāĻĒূāϰ্āĻŖ.

Near about 25 blocks, 5 millions of people are suffering every year in Paschim and Purba Midnapore,due to devastating floods.

In february 1982 the foundation stone of the Ghatal master plan was laid.... unfortunately zero progress till date.

The estimated cost of the project in 1982 was Rs 50 crore now  around Rs1750 crore.

ā§Šā§Ž āĻŦāĻ›āϰেāĻ“ āϤৈāϰি āĻšā§Ÿāύি āϘাāϟাāϞ āĻŽাāϏ্āϟাāϰ āĻĒ্āϞ্āϝাāύ  .āĻĒ্āϰāϤিāĻŦāĻ›āϰ āĻŦāϰ্āώা⧟ āϧ্āĻŦংāϏাāϤ্āĻŽāĻ• āĻŦāύ্āϝাāϰ āĻ•াāϰāĻŖে  āĻĄুāĻŦে āϝা⧟ āĻĒ্āϰাāϝ় ⧍ā§Ģ āϟি āĻŦ্āϞāĻ• āĻāĻŦং āĻ•্āώāϤিāĻ—্āϰāϏ্āĻĨ āĻšā§Ÿ  ā§Ģā§Ļ āϞāĻ•্āώ āĻŽাāύুāώ  .āĻ•্āώāϤিāĻ—্āϰāϏ্āĻĨ āĻšā§Ÿ āĻĒ্āϰাāϝ় āĻ•ā§ŸেāĻ•  āĻšাāϜাāϰ āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āϘāϰāĻŦা⧜ি, āĻŦ্āϝāĻŦāϏা, āĻļāϏ্āϝāĻ–েāϤ āĻ“ āĻŦীāϜāϤāϞা, āĻ—āĻŦাāĻĻি āĻĒāĻļু, āĻŽā§ŽāϏ āĻ–াāĻŽাāϰ āĻāĻŦং āϏ⧜āĻ•- āĻŦ্āϰীāϜ-āĻ•াāϞāĻ­াāϰ্āϟ.

ā§§ā§¯ā§Žā§¨ āϏাāϞে āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒেāϰ āφāύুāĻŽাāύিāĻ• āĻŦ্āϝা⧟ āĻ›িāϞ ā§Ģā§Ļ āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•া,āĻŦāϰ্āϤāĻŽাāύে āϘাāϟাāϞ āĻŽাāϏ্āϟাāϰ āĻĒ্āϞ্āϝাāύেāϰ āφāύুāĻŽাāύিāĻ• āĻŦ্āϝāϝ়  āĻĻাঁāĻĄ়ি⧟েāĻ›ে ā§§ā§­ā§Ģā§Ļ āĻ•োāϟিāϤে.........āφāĻ—ে āĻāχ āϧāϰāύেāϰ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒে āĻ•েāύ্āĻĻ্āϰ ā§­ā§Ģ% āĻ“ āϰাāϜ্āϝ ⧍ā§Ģ % āϟাāĻ•া āĻĻিāϤ। āĻ•িāύ্āϤু āύāϤুāύ āύি⧟āĻŽে āĻ•েāύ্āĻĻ্āϰ āĻ“ āϰাāϜ্āϝ āωāϭ⧟āĻ•েāχ ā§Ģā§Ļ% āĻ•āϰে āϟাāĻ•া āĻĻিāϤে āĻšāĻŦে āĻŦāϞা āĻšā§ŸেāĻ›ে . āύāϤুāύ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒে āĻ•āĻŽ āĻŦেāĻļি ā§§ā§Ģā§Ļ āĻ•িāϞোāĻŽিāϟাāϰ āύāĻĻী āĻ“ āύāĻĻীāϰ āĻŦাঁāϧ āϏংāϏ্āĻ•াāϰ, āύাāϰা⧟āĻŖী āĻ“ āĻ•াঁāĻ•ি āĻ–াāϞে āĻĻু’āϟি āϏ্āϞুāχāϏ āĻ—েāϟ, āĻĒাāĻŽ্āĻĒ āĻšাāωāϏ, āϘাāϟাāϞ āĻļāĻšāϰ āϏংāϞāĻ—্āύ āĻļিāϞাāĻŦāϤী āύāĻĻীāϰ āĻŦাঁ āĻĻিāĻ•ে āĻĻুāχ āĻ•িāϞোāĻŽিāϟাāϰ āĻ—াāϰ্āĻĄāĻ“ā§ŸাāϞ-āϏāĻš āĻŦিāĻ­িāύ্āύ āĻ•াāϜ āĻšāĻ“ā§Ÿাāϰ āĻ•āĻĨা। āĻ•িāύ্āϤু āϏāĻŦāϟাāχ āϤো āĻ–াāϤা⧟ āĻ•āϞāĻŽে. āĻĒ্āϰāĻĨāĻŽ āϧাāĻĒেāϰ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒāϟি āϏāĻŦুāϜ āϏংāĻ•েāϤ āĻĒেāϞেāĻ“ āϘাāϟাāϞ āĻŽাāϏ্āϟাāϰ āĻĒ্āϞ্āϝাāύেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āĻāĻ–āύāĻ“ āĻ•োāύāĻ“ āϟাāĻ•া āĻŦāϰাāĻĻ্āĻĻ āĻšā§Ÿāύি. āĻ āĻĻিāĻ•ে āϝāϤ āĻĻিāύ āĻāĻ—োāϚ্āĻ›ে āϤāϤ āϞাāĻĢি⧟ে āϞাāĻĢি⧟ে āĻŦাāĻĄ়āĻ›ে āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒেāϰ āĻ–āϰāϚ।āϝāĻĻি āĻāϟি āφāϰāĻ“  ā§Ģ āĻŦāĻ›āϰ āĻŦিāϞāĻŽ্āĻŦ āĻšāϝ় āϤāĻŦে āĻŦ্āϝāϝ় ⧍ā§Ģā§Ļā§Ļ āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•া āĻ›ুঁāϤে āĻĒাāϰে.

āĻāχ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒāϟি  āĻĒূāϰ্āĻŦ āĻ“ āĻĒāĻļ্āϚিāĻŽ  āĻŽেāĻĻিāύীāĻĒুāϰেāϰ āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύৈāϤিāĻ• āĻŦিāĻ•াāĻļ, āĻ•āϰ্āĻŽāϏংāϏ্āĻĨাāύ, āĻĻাāϰিāĻĻ্āϰ্āϝ āĻĻূāϰীāĻ•āϰāĻŖ  āϜāύ্āϝ āĻ…āϤ্āϝāύ্āϤ āĻ—ুāϰুāϤ্āĻŦāĻĒূāϰ্āĻŖ.

Tuesday, 6 October 2020

India -Structural reforms are necessary to boost farmers’ income.

Structural reforms are necessary to boost farmers’ Income and indian agriculture.




Agricultural Scenario in India-

We know India is a Agro based country,arable land area of 159.7 million hectares ,total farmers 15-16cr or 160 million but India's agricultural export very low,Overall agri and processed food exports around  1.28 lakh crore or $18 billion in 2019.

We know India import several Agl products, like Edible oil and Pulses.


Edible oil one of the top product, estimated import worth $12billion and Pulses around $2 billion.

India  need to encourage corporate bodies to invest in building up the infrastructure facilities for storage and exports of foodgrains.

I think India's farm production will be demand oriented and farmers income will be double in next 4-5 years....may be triple.


Agricultural Scenario in US-

We know USA is manufacturing based country.US has 20lakh farmers,but USA agricultural exports were valued at $135 billion in 2019....which is almost 8times higher than India.


We know USA has highest number of Agro based MNCs such as Cargill,Allen Family Foods,Monsanto, Golden Harvest Seeds and  Archer Daniels Midland Company etc.

They are focused on empowering farmers—large and small—to produce more from their land while conserving more of the world’s natural resources such as water and energy. They do this with their leading seed brands in crops like corn, cotton, oilseeds and fruits and vegetables.

They also produce leading in-the-seed trait technologies for farmers, which are aimed at protecting their yield, supporting their on-farm efficiency and reducing their on-farm costs.

Huge gap between domestic production and demand in India.

(1) India's edible oil import worth around $11-$12 billion.

(2) Pulses import worth around $2-3billion.

(3) 2010-2015 India's annual agricultural imports increased more than 60% from $14.1 billion to $22.8 billion.

Farmers income India vs US -

In India ,the average income of a farmer is estimated at Rs 77,976($1100) per year, according to the Dalwai committee report.in US average farmers income Rs49L-50L or $70,000.

So,Structural Reforms are necessary to boost Farmers’ income and indian Agriculture.


Monday, 21 September 2020

India Needs Yellow Revolution .India's Edible oil import worth Rs 90,000 Crore.

India Needs Yellow Revolution 

Yellow Revolution

India is number  one in edible oil import ,import worth approx Rs80000- 90,000 crore.India  could save  12 billion USD foreign exchange per annum....India Needs Yellow Revolution.


India has not been able to achieve self-sufficiency in Edible oil production despite Green Revolution#India is number one in edible oil import#present  Edible oil import worth apptox Rs 90,000cr ($12 billion).

Concept like Amul cooperative  model  could boost edible oil production in India.india will be number one importer to number one exporter with in 5 years.India can save approx $12 billion USD/year foreign exchange.

Domestic & Global Edible oil Demand 

India’s edible oil consumption to exceed 35 -40 million tonnes by 2030.Current Edible oil  consumption 23_24 million tonns,production 7-8 million tonnes and  import 15 -16 million tonnes .At present  Edible oil import worth approx  Rs 90,000cr ($12billion).

So, india needs to focus on the edible oil sector........edible oil demand is high in india  ....it's  can boost farmers income..can minimise Agrarian crisis.

Indian farmers can earn foreign country by Export.Global edible oils  market expected to reach approximately USD 160-170 billion by 2024.

__________________________

āĻ­াāϰāϤে āϏāĻŦুāϜ āĻŦিāĻĒ্āϞāĻŦ āϏāϤ্āϤ্āĻŦেāĻ“# āĻ­োāϜ্āϝ āϤেāϞ āĻ‰ā§ŽāĻĒাāĻĻāύে āϏ্āĻŦāϝ়ংāϏāĻŽ্āĻĒূāϰ্āĻŖāϤা āĻ…āϰ্āϜāύ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰেāύি # āĻ­াāϰāϤ āĻ­োāϜ্āϝ āϤেāϞ āφāĻŽāĻĻাāύিāϤে āĻāĻ• āύāĻŽ্āĻŦāϰে# āĻŦāϰ্āϤāĻŽাāύে ā§¯0,000 āĻ•োāϟি āϟাāĻ•া (⧧⧍ āĻŦিāϞিāϝ়āύ āĻĄāϞাāϰ) āĻ­োāϜ্āϝ āϤেāϞ āφāĻŽāĻĻাāύি āĻ•āϰে .

 āĻĻেāĻļে āĻŦāϰ্āϤāĻŽাāύে āĻ­োāϜ্āϝ āϤেāϞ āĻ‰ā§ŽāĻĒাāĻĻিāϤ āĻšā§Ÿ ā§Ž āĻŽিāϞি⧟āύ āĻŽেāϟ্āϰিāĻ• āϟāύেāϰ āĻŽāϤো। āĻ•িāύ্āϤুāĻĻেāĻļে āĻāϰ āĻŦāϰ্āϤāĻŽাāύ āϚাāĻšিāĻĻা āϰ⧟েāĻ›ে ā§¨ā§Š -⧍ā§Ē āĻŽিāϞি⧟āύ āĻŽেāϟ্āϰিāĻ• āϟāύেāϰ āĻŽāϤো। āφāĻ—াāĻŽী āĻŦāĻ›āϰāĻ—ুāϞিāϤে āĻ­াāϰāϤে āĻ­োāϜ্āϝ āϤেāϞ  āϚাāĻšিāĻĻা āĻĻ্āϰুāϤ āĻŦāϰ্āϧāύāĻļীāϞ āĻšāĻŦে , āĻļāĻ•্āϤিāĻļাāϞী āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύৈāϤিāĻ• āĻĒ্āϰāĻŦৃāĻĻ্āϧি, āφāϰো āĻŦ্āϝāϝ়  āĻ•্āώāĻŽāϤা āĻŦৃāĻĻ্āϧি āĻāĻŦং āĻŽāϧ্āϝāĻŦিāϤ্āϤ āϰ āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝ āϏāϚেāϤāύ āĻŦৃāĻĻ্āϧিāϰ āĻ•াāϰāĻŖে ।

āϏূāϰ্āϝāĻŽুāĻ–ী āϤেāϞে āφāĻ›ে āĻŽাāύāĻŦāĻĻেāĻšেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āωāĻĒāĻ•াāϰী āĻ“āĻŽেāĻ—া ⧝ āĻ“ āĻ“āĻŽেāĻ—া ā§Ŧ, āφāĻ›ে āĻ…āϞিāĻ• āĻ…্āϝাāϏিāĻĄ। āϏূāϰ্āϝāĻŽুāĻ–ীāϰ āϤেāϞে āφāĻ›ে āĻļāϤāĻ•āϰা ā§§ā§Ļā§Ļ āĻ­াāĻ— āωāĻĒāĻ•াāϰী āĻĢ্āϝাāϟ। āφāϰāĻ“ āφāĻ›ে āĻ•াāϰ্āĻŦোāĻšাāχāĻĄ্āϰেāϟ āĻĒ্āϰোāϟিāύ । āϏূāϰ্āϝāĻŽুāĻ–ীāϰ āϤেāϞ āϏāĻŽ্āĻĒূāϰ্āĻŖ āĻ•্āώāϤিāĻ•াāϰāĻ• āĻ•োāϞেāϏ্āϟেāϰāϞāĻŽুāĻ•্āϤ। āφāĻ›ে āĻ­িāϟাāĻŽিāύ ‘āχ’, āĻ­িāϟাāĻŽিāύ ‘āĻ•ে’–āĻāϰ āĻŽāϤো āĻ—ুāϰুāϤ্āĻŦāĻĒূāϰ্āĻŖ āĻ­িāϟাāĻŽিāύ, āφāĻ›ে āĻŽিāύাāϰেāϞ। āĻŽুāĻ–েāϰ āϝāϤ্āύে āĻĻাঁāϤেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āωāĻĒāĻ•াāϰী āĻāĻ•āĻŽাāϤ্āϰ āϤেāϞ। āĻšৃāĻĻāϰোāĻ—ী, āĻĄা⧟াāĻŦেāϟিāϏেāϰ āϰোāĻ—ী āωāϚ্āϚ āϰāĻ•্āϤāϚাāĻĒেāϰ āϰোāĻ—ী, āĻ•িāĻĄāύি āϰোāĻ—ীāϰ āϜāύ্āϝāĻ“ āϏূāϰ্āϝāĻŽুāĻ–ীāϰ āϤেāϞ āύিāϰাāĻĒāĻĻ। āϚāĻŽā§ŽāĻ•াāϰ āĻāύাāϰ্āϜিāϰ āĻ‰ā§ŽāϏāĻ“ āϏূāϰ্āϝāĻŽুāĻ–ীāϰ āϤেāϞ।

āφāĻŽুāϞ āĻŽāĻĄেāϞ āĻ­াāϰāϤে  āĻ­োāϜ্āϝ āϤেāϞ  āĻ‰ā§ŽāĻĒাāĻĻāύ āĻŦাāĻĄ়িāϝ়ে āϤুāϞāϤে āĻĒাāϰে ।  āĻ­াāϰāϤ ā§ĢāĻŦāĻ›āϰেāϰ āĻŽāϧ্āϝে āĻāĻ• āύāĻŽ্āĻŦāϰ āφāĻŽāĻĻাāύিāĻ•াāϰāĻ• āĻĻেāĻļ  āĻĨেāĻ•ে āĻāĻ• āύāĻŽ্āĻŦāϰ āϰāĻĒ্āϤাāύিāĻ•াāϰāĻ• āĻĻেāĻļ āĻšāϤে āĻĒাāϰে,  āĻ­াāϰāϤ āĻĒ্āϰাāϝ় ā§§ā§¨ āĻŦিāϞিāϝ়āύ āĻŽাāϰ্āĻ•িāύ āĻĄāϞাāϰ / āĻŦāĻ›āϰ āĻŦৈāĻĻেāĻļিāĻ• āĻŽুāĻĻ্āϰা āϏংāϰāĻ•্āώāĻŖ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে । 

______

Ref-

1)Edible oil import bill may soar to $14 bn in FY16: ASSOCHAM | Business Standard News> 17sept 2015.
2)India's edible oil imports may touch $15 bn in FY15 - The Hindu BusinessLine >7 Nov 2014

Saturday, 12 September 2020

Ayushman Bharat -Project of The Century.

Ayushman Bharat -project Of The Century.


Ayushman Bharat -This Single Health Care  Scheme can eradicate Poverty and Hunger from India.

Aushman Bharat, the biggest health financing scheme in the world,launched 23rd sept 2018 by Modi Govt,with insurance cover Rs 5 lakh ($7000),which cover 50 crore or 500 million poor.

I think India will be poverty  Free nation, it will  be possible through Aushman Bharat National Healthcare scheme. We know Health care cost is growing and is now being estimated to be one of the major contributions to poverty  in india.

Each year some 55 million or 5.5 crore  indian are pushed into BPL( Below Poverty Line) due to Rising healthcare cost.

A study by three experts from the Public Health Foundation of India has estimated. The study, published in the British Medical Journal, reveals that non-communicable diseases like cancer, heart diseases and diabetes account for the largest chunk of spending by households on health.

Benefits of Aushman Bharat -

1)World largest healthcare scheme aims to cover 10 crore or 100 million poor and deprived families or almost 50 crore persons (500 million persons ). .....beneficiaries were all most equal to the combined population of US,Maxico and Canada. 

2) Insurance cover Rs 5 lakh ($7000) per family per year.

I think Aushman Bharat will be biggest role model for less developed and developing countries.

āφāϝ়ুāώ্āĻŽাāύ āĻ­াāϰāϤ' āĻāχ āĻāĻ•āĻ• āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒ āĻ­াāϰāϤ āĻĨেāĻ•ে āĻĻাāϰিāĻĻ্āϰ্āϝ āĻĻূāϰ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻĒাāϰে.āĻāĻ•āϟি āϰিāĻĒোāϰ্āϟ āĻ…āύুāϝাāϝ়ী āĻ­াāϰāϤে āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝāĻ–াāϤে āĻŦ্āϝāϝ় āĻŦা⧜াāϰ āĻ•াāϰāĻŖে (Rising healthcare costs)  āĻĒ্āϰāϤি āĻŦāĻ›āϰ āĻĒ্āϰাāϝ় ā§Ģ.ā§Ģ āĻ•োāϟি  āĻŽাāύুāώāĻ•ে āĻĻাāϰিāĻĻ্āϰ্āϝেāϰ  āĻ•āĻŦāϞে ,āĻ‹āĻŖেāϰ āĻ•āĻŦāϞে āĻĒ⧜āϤে āĻšā§Ÿ.

āĻ†ā§Ÿুāώ্āĻŽাāύ āĻ­াāϰāϤ āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝ āϝোāϜāύা⧟ ā§§ā§Ļ āĻ•োāϟি āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰেāϰ āĻĒ্āϰা⧟ ā§Ģā§Ļ āĻ•োāϟি āĻŽাāύুāώāĻ•ে āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝāĻŦীāĻŽাāϰ āϏুāĻŦিāϧা āĻĻেāĻ“ā§Ÿা āĻšāĻŦে। āĻāϤে ā§Ģ āϞāĻ•্āώ āϟাāĻ•াāϰ āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝāĻŦীāĻŽাāϰ āϏুāĻŦিāϧা āĻĒাāĻŦে āĻĒ্āϰāϤিāϟি āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰ I 

āύোāĻŦেāϞāϜ⧟ী āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύীāϤিāĻŦিāĻĻ āĻ…āĻ­িāϜিā§Ž āĻŦāύ্āĻĻ্āϝোāĻĒাāϧ্āϝা⧟ (Abhijit Banerjee) “āĻ†ā§Ÿুāώ্āĻŽাāύ āĻ­াāϰāϤ” āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒেāϰ āĻĒ্āϰāĻļংāϏা āĻ•āϰে  āĻŦāϞেāύ, āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰেāϰ āĻ•েāω āĻ…āϏুāϏ্āĻĨ āĻšā§Ÿে āϝাāϤে āĻĒুāϰো āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰāϟাāχ āύা āĻ•্āώāϤিāĻ—্āϰāϏ্āϤ āĻšā§Ÿ, āϤাāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āϝা āĻĒ্āϰ⧟োāϜāύ, āĻāϟা āϏেāϟাāχ।  “ āφāĻŽি āĻŽāύে āĻ•āϰি āĻāϟাāϰ āĻ–ুāĻŦ āĻĒ্āϰ⧟োāϜāύ āĻ›িāϞ। āĻāϟা āĻ–ুāĻŦ āĻ—ুāϰুāϤ্āĻŦāĻĒূāϰ্āĻŖ, āϏ্āĻŦাāϏ্āĻĨ্āϝāϜāύিāϤ āĻ–āϰāϚ āĻĒুāϰো āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰāĻ•ে āϧ্āĻŦংāϏ āĻ•āϰে āĻĻে⧟। āĻĢāϞে āϏেāχ  āϏāĻŽā§Ÿে āĻāϟাāϰ āĻ–ুāĻŦ āĻĒ্āϰ⧟োāϜāύ। āφāĻŽি āĻŽāύে āĻ•āϰি, āϝা āĻĒ্āϰ⧟োāϜāύ āĻ›িāϞ āĻāϟা āϏেāϟাāχ। āφāĻŽাāĻĻেāϰ āĻāĻŽāύ āĻāĻ•āϟা āϰাāϏ্āϤা āĻ–ুঁāϜে āĻŦেāϰ āĻ•āϰāϤে āĻšāĻŦে, āϝাāϤে āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰেāϰ āĻ•েāω āĻ…āϏুāϏ্āĻĨ āĻšāϞে āĻĒāϰিāĻŦাāϰেāϰ āϏāĻŦ āĻĒুঁāϜি āϝাāϤে āĻļেāώ  āύা āĻšā§Ÿে āϝা⧟”।

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References 

●'Rising healthcare costs push 5.5 crore Indians below poverty line' - The Hindu BusinessLine 08-Jun-2018.

●Health spending in India: Health spending pushed 55 million Indians into poverty in a year: Study | India News - Times of India 12-Jun-2018 ·

● 63 million Indians are pushed into poverty by health expenses each year—and drugs are the chief cause - Center for Disease Dynamics ... - CDDEP04-Jun-2016 ·/cddep.org › blog › posts.

● Ayushman Bharat beneficiaries crosses 1 crore mark; PM Modi interacts with the 1 croreth beneficiary> liveMint.com>20may 2020

●āφāϝ়ুāώ্āĻŽাāύ āĻ­াāϰāϤ āĻĒ্āϰāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒেāϰ āĻĒ্āϰāĻļংāϏা āĻ•āϰāϞেāύ āύোāĻŦেāϞāϜāϝ়ী āĻ…āϰ্āĻĨāύীāϤিāĻŦিāĻĻ | Nobel Laureate Economist Abhijit Banerjee Praises Pm Modi's Ayushman Bharat Scheme, Saying Something We Need Ndtv.com > 22-Oct -2019 .

Thursday, 10 September 2020

Peace is The Mother of All Development.

Peace is The Mother of All Development 


Social Harmony is important for a Healthy Economy.

Sustainable peace is necessary  for sustainable development.Economic impact  of violence to the Global Economy was $13.6 trillion in 2015 was $14.5 trillion in 2019,that is 13-14% of global GDP.we need  only $267 billion per year to ending world hunger by 2030, this is equivalent to 0.3% of Global GDP.

Peace is the mother of all  development, without  peace world can't achieve  any progress, so peace is desirable .

But  Peace is still a biggg dream. People talk of peace but prepare for war...violence. 

Every year World loss trillion-dollar due to violence.... war .We know economic cost of violence in 2015 was $13.6 trillion.....in 2019 it was $14.5 trillion , or 13.3 -14% of global GDP.

This  is equivalent to 11 times the size of global foreign direct investment (FDI ) .  This is more than $2,000 per person on this planet.... USD 5 per day per person.

We know  approx 800 million people go to bed hungry each night ...300 million are children. ..... According to  United Nations agency report, an additional $160 per year for each person living in extreme poverty would end chronic hunger – and additional investments of an estimated $267 billion annually in social protection and in rural and urban areas would sustainably eradicate world hunger by 2030.

So, pray  for  peace.. Sustainable peace is necessary  for sustainable development.

Friday, 4 September 2020

South Korean Miracle.

South Korean miracle


South Korea  is the fastest growing economy , has earned a name for itself as the “Asian power house".We know South Korea has experienced one of the largest economic transformations of the past 60 years.

After the Korean war(1950), South Korea was one of the world's poorest countries with only $64 per capita income...but In 1980 it was $2,300, and  2010 it was $30,000  almost 30th  times increase GDP between 1980-2010. The whole country's GDP increased from $88 billion to $1,460 billion(1980-2010) ,almost 18 times .

Important Factors in South Korea’s Economic Success .

1. export-oriented policies and  industrialization of South Korea are one of the most important factors of its success: South Korea is now one of the top 5 exporters in the world, total export worth $600 billion out of $1655 billion  GDP.....while India's total export worth $ 350 billion out of $3000 billion GDP.  

2.Business  Environment and Innovation -another key factors in South Korea’s Economic Success  . According to the World Bank, South Korea is ranked No. 4 in terms of the overall Ease of Doing Business (DB) index in 2018.

South Korea is now spending the largest share of its GDP on research and development (R&D), even larger than the U.S. and Japan. 

Between 1996 and 2015, South Korea’s R&D expenditure as a share of GDP  grew 128% (from 2.2% in 1996 to 5% in 2016), while the U.S.’s only grew 16% (from 2.5% in 1996 to 2.7% in 2016). 

In the coming years South Korea could see 8-9% growth  and could reach $4 trillion mark by 2025.....GDP per capita could reach $ 70,000 by 2025 from existing $32,000....Export Economy could reach $ 1500 billion Mark.


Saturday, 29 August 2020

EXPRESSWAYS will help India Grow at 12% and become a USD 12 trillion Economy by 2030.

"American roads are not good because America is rich, but America is rich because American roads are good," US President John F Kennedy once said famously.


EXPRESSWAYS will help India Grow at 12%  and become a USD 12 trillion Economy by 2030.

✅Expressways are key to over all Economic Development.

✅$1 spent on Expressways adds more than  $10 to the  Economy.

✅india's freight travels 🚛 🚛 just 250-300 km per day while the world average in developed countries is 800 km per day.

✅The cost of an average shipment over a high-capacity expressway is 70% lower than over single-lane roads.

India has devolved only 1,583 km of expressways after 72 yrs of independence .....far behind china  (142,000km),USA (108,000km),canada (17,000km), Brazil (11,000km),Japan (10,000km).


India needs at least  15,000 km expressway to meet the target  $5 trillion economy by 2024.Expressways can boost Construction Equipment industry,Steel, Cement,Automobile, Agriculture and Foreign Direct investments.

Expresswas Could save billion dollars fuel and transportation cost.we know Indian transportation industry is still dominated by roads transport,roads carry almost 65% of the country’s freight...but on ☑️average one truck travels only 250-300 km per day while the world average in developed countries is 800 km per day.

India  needs 15,000km Expressways by 2024 to boost GDP  $5 trillion.

Example-

1) ✔China-china developed zero to 1.10 lakh km expressway between 1980-2015.

Before expressways China's GDP growth rate was around đŸ”Ŋ4- 5%(1960-1978).

After expressways GDP grow ⏫10%[ 1983], ⏫15.2%[1984], ⏫12%[1987], ⏫14.2%[1992], ⏫13% [1994]and ⏫10.5% [2010].

2) ✔India-

Former PM of India AB Vajpayee's ,The Golden Quadrilateral project,5,846 km national highway project launched in Dec 2000.

Resulted in a 50-70% overall output increase from initial levels for the average district located on the Golden Quadrilateral network.

 India's GDP growth đŸ”Ŋ3.8% in 2002-3,⬆️ 7% in 2004-5, ⬆️9.5% in 2005-6 , ⬆️ picked  10.2% in 2006-7,⬆️9.3% in 2007-8, and ⬆9.6% in 2009-10. and picked all time high ⬆10.8% in 2010-11.

Avobe example  shows that Good road accelerate GDP.Time has changed india needs Expressways to boost GDP 12-15% per annum.

______________

References- 

●India incurs $21.3 billion loss due to delay on roads: Study - The Economic Times 07-Jun-2016.

Poor logistics infrastructure may cost Rs 7 lakh cr annually by 2020.www.thehindubusinessline.com › 19-Oct-2011.

Traffic congestion costs four major Indian cities Rs 1.5 lakh crore a yearTimesofindia.indiatimes.com26-Apr-2018 

Delhi-Mumbai(1400km) Super Expressway to only take 12 hours | Times of India Travel.



Friday, 28 August 2020

Infant Mortality Rate-A dark spot in Gujarat Development story.

 Infant Mortality Rate-A dark spot in Gujarat Development story.

✅India's Infant Mortality at 32 per 1,000.

✅Gujarat Infant Mortality at 30 per 1,000.

✅ India's per capital income USD 2000.

✅ Gujarat per capita income USD 3000.


Every year 12 lakh infants are born in Gujarat. Current fig  30 out of every 1,000 infants die due to malnutrition, premature delivery, or because the mothers are not able to reach the hospital in time.....the fig in year 2000 was more critical, infants mortality rate in Gujarat was 62 out of 1000....almost equivalent to nation.

Though per capita income of Gujarat currently USD 3000, higher than the national average USD 2000.....in year 2000 Gujarat per capit income was just USD 175 below the national average USD 240.

That's imply Gujarat per capit income increases  more than 17 times but in case of infants mortality figure is all most equivalent to nation 

✓India's Infant Mortality at 32 per 1,000.

✓Gujarat Infant Mortality at 30 per 1,000.

Though I am big fan of Gujarat Model of Development,but Infant Mortality-A dark spot in Gujarat development story.

_____

Reference-

15,000 newborn died in Gujarat hospitals in 2 years - www.outlookindia.com ›03-Mar-2020 ·

Wednesday, 26 August 2020

EMBRAPA -a key reason behind Brazil's extraordinary success.


The  Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa):A key reason behind Brazil's extraordinary success.

EmbrapaThe Engine Behind Brazil's Miracle,R$ 1(Indian rupee 17.20) invested in Embrapa generates an average return of R$ 13.20(Indian rupee 227) for the Brazilian society .Embrapa has transformed Brazil into a  world largest agricultural exporter, Exporter worth approx $120 Billion(over Rs 9 lakh crore).

EMBRAPA is a state-owned agricultural research corporation like The Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI ,founded 1905 ).EMBRAPA was founded on April 26, 1973 under the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Food Supply. 

EMBRAPA  have played a central role in the development and expansion of Brazilian agriculture in the last 47 years. Motto to "develop research, development and innovation solutions for the sustainability of agriculture, for the benefit of Brazilian society".

This national  research corporation transformed Brazil  from a food importer to one of the world’s largest agricultural producers and world largest grain exporter... Brazil accounting for 10% of global Agricultural export.

Current Brazil's agricultural and food exports worth approx $120 billion...major players-soybe export worth $20Bn,sugarcane $11Bn, coffee $5Bn,Orange juice $2.5Bn etc.

According to Embrapa, which receives most of its funding from the federal government, every R$ 1 invested in Embrapa generates an average return of R$ 13.20 for the Brazilian society.Embrapa reaches R$ 37 billion in social profits in 2017.

I would Like to add Agriculture the  main driving force of Brazilian economy.Agl. represents 22% of Brazil's GDP, 1/3 of all employment and almost 50% of exports. 

The GDP  per capita of  Brazil was $ 800 (year1973), $3700 (2000),$13200( 2011) and  $10,000 (2017)... projected to trend around $12,000  in 2020.


-----------------

Reference -

R$ =Brazilian real=R$1 = ₹17.2(indian rupee )

1.Embrapa reaches R$ 37 billion in social profits in 2017 — Brazil

24-Apr-2018 · www.brazil.gov.br › news › 2018/04 ›

2. www.brics-info.org › role-of-agriculture-...

Role of agriculture sector in Brazil's economy – BRICS Information ...

Agriculture sector, inter alia, with major contribution in Brazil's economy brings ... that “every R$ 1 invested in Embrapa generates an average return of R$ 13.20

3. www.fao.org › agronoticias › detail

Agricultural exports from Brazil increase in 2017 and reach $ 96,000 million | Agronoticias: Agriculture News from Latin America and the Caribbean ...

22-Jan-2018

Sunday, 23 August 2020

Gujarat -A Role Model of Development for India.

●Gujarat -A Role Model of Development for India.

●Present- Gujarat per capita income USD 3000 ,higher than the national average USD 2000.

●Past -in year 2000-1,Gujarat  per capita income was just USD 175 ,below the national average USD 240.


Gujarat Model of Development  more ⬆️Successful than the Western....true Swadeshi model.

#Gujarat model can help developing countries in formulating their own economic strategies.

#Gujarat per capita income  ⏫$3000 ,higher than the national average $2000.

#Gujarat  per capita 2000-1 was $175 ,national average  $240.


✅Gujarat Economy is Running like a 🚅Bullet train.

✅Gujarat Economy grew ⏫200%  [Rs 6 Lakh cr to Rs 18 Lakh cr. 2012-19]

✅Expected to grow more than ⏫300% ,2020-27.

✅GUJARAT has huge potenti will be One Trillion Dollar Economy by 2027.


Once upon a time Gujarat was most backward state in india....after 2001 ☑️ Gujarat grew Rs 1Lakh cr -18Lakh cr (2001-19), grew ⏫1700%.

Overall, Gujarat’s gross state domestic product grew  at an average of ⬆16.6% a year from 2001 to 2010, up from an annual average of 5.1% from 1980 to 1990 and 8.2% from 1991 to1998, according to a report of planning commission(Niti Aayog).

The state  has #World class infrastructure# Business environment#Good export policy#.


✔1#Gujarat become the 🚘Detroit of India.

Tata, Suzuki, Ford, General Motors, Honda,SAIC motor,Toyota  and Hero MotoCorp, has state-of-the-art manufacturing units  in and around Sanand, making the region a major automotive hub. Gujarat will have car manufacturing capacity of 🚘 25 lakh units or more by 2020.


✔2. #Gujarat International Finance Tech City (GIFT City).emerging business hubs in the world.

India's international financial services centre at the Gujarat International Finance Tech City (GIFT City) made its global mark by being named among the top three emerging business hubs in the world.

$11 billion(RS 77000 cr) GIFT City ,will be able to attract a great number of finance and tech firms....can generate  good jobs.


✔ 3. Gujarat export economy could touch $ 250 billion USD by 2027-28.

At present Gujarat's share in export around  22% (2017-18), $70 billion....able to touch  $250 billion by 2027-28.Gujarat exports a wide variety of items - gems and jewellery, agriculture, automobiles, petroleum products, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, textiles...etc.


✔ 4 . Gujarat become top investment destination.

 Gujarat got Investment proposals total 1 lakh crores  in 2018.The state got 💰FDI proposals worth $3.8 billion (Rs 26,000) crores from Japan, china,Taiwan, South Korea, European countries.... FDI will be double 50,000cr in the next 5-6yers.


✔ 5. Real estate boom in Gujarat.

 Barren land to world class Green field smart city:DHOLERA

Dholera  will be  bigger than #Shanghai .Dholera’s design and construction is world class and will become the role model for all future cities in India. DHOLERA project can generate house as many as 20 lakh people,Employment 30 lakh in sector such as construction,finance,manufacturing and retail.


✔ 6. Gujarat eyes 8 crore tourists  per year##2.20 lakh tourists  per day  by 2020.

3000 cr Statue of Unity can  boost Gujarat's annual tourist  to 80 million (8cr)....can generate Foreign currency,Employment near one million. Gujarat has presence of important pilgrimage destinations like Ambaji, Dakore, Dwarka and Somnath. 

Gujarat is going to invest another Rs 11,000-crore in 220 tourism-related projects. Gujarat spends #Rs 200 core every year for promotion and branding of Gujarat tourism at various domestic and global platforms....tourism industry at present contributes near 9% of state's GDP.....capacity  to contribute 15% of state's GDP.


✔ 7 . Gujarat's ports -world’s gate way to india.

Ports are the gateway to Gujarat  economic growth.Gujarat’s ports account for 26% of total national cargo and 72% of cargo handled by ports under State Governments of India. If the Kandla port is included, Gujarat handles 35% of the national cargo.


✔ 8. Gujarat emerging as textile hub of India.Investment Destination for Textile Industry.

Gujarat is rightly known as the “Textile State of India” contribute  15% export .India's  Textile export expected to cross  $300 billion(Rs 21 lakh cr )  by 2025.


✔ 9. Gujarat  the global Diamond hub.

Surat, famous for  diamond processing and trading . Around 15000 diamond units located in surat,employs near one million . 

 8 out of 10 diamonds  on the global market were cut and polished in Surat. India's Cut and polished diamond export expected to cross  $60 billion(Rs 4.20 lakh crore ) by 2020.


✔ 10 . Mumbai -Ahmedabad 🚅🚅Bullet train.

 #Bullet train will help Gujarat to become  $1 trillion economy by 2027.

High speed rail network has  many layers of Economic benefits. High speed rail network can boost  -GDP, per capita income, manufacturing sector,Agrarian, tourism industry, FDI,can reduce transport cost up to 300%,can reduce Oil  consumption  ,can increase standard of living...etc.


High speed rail network can boost Gujarat's Economy.High speed rail network can boost FDI, tourism, transport, Manufacturing and service sectors in Gujarat .


When Japan launched its first bullet train in 1964, its per capita GDP was only  $835.... When China launched its high speed trains in 2008, its per capita GDP was $3,500. Now, Japan's per capita GDP is over $ 38,000(45×835), China's is over $ 9,500(2.7×3500).

Ahmedabad-Mumbai Highspeed Rail network  could boost  per capita GDP.


✔ 11.Gujarat sets 30000 MW renewable energy generation by 2022.

Investment potential 💰$22 billion(1.5lakh cr) by 2022.At present, the state has a total of 9,670 MW production of renewable energy which includes 6,880 MW wind energy and 2,654 MW solar energy. 


✔ 12 GUJARAT per capita income around $3000, higher than national average $2000.Expected to reach ⬆️$20000 by 2030.

So, undoubtedly Gujarat Model of Development  one of most successful model ..... Gujarat model more successful than the Western...Gujarat model can help developing countries in formulating their own economic strategies.

                                                                    --------------

✔ Reference-

Gujarat received Rs 24,012 crore FDI in first half of FY20 - The Financial Express >02-Jan-2020 .

Friday, 21 August 2020

RUSSIA will become $5 trillion Economy in the Next 6-7 years.

RUSSIA will become $5 trillion Economy in the Next 6-7 years.


Oil Price volatility Is hurting Russia's Economy. ECONOMIC

DIVERSIFICATION needs in RUSSIA ,Oil based Economy to manufacturing ,tourism and Agricultural,Russia could reach USD 5 trillion by 2027,currently Russia  USD 1.6 trillion.

Russia is a major player in oil and gas production worldwide. It is the second largest producer of natural gas and the third largest producer of oil.

Oil and gas are responsible for more than 60% of Russia's exports and provide more than 30% of the country's gross domestic product (GDP).A dip in oil prices between 2014 and 2016 caused big losses to the Russian economy. 


Oil Price ⏫and Russia  Economy ⏫.

GDP of  Russia  grew $280 billion  in 2000 to $1800 billion ($1.8 trillion)  in 2008....near 7 fold jump.

At that time  oil prices began to recover from their low of $10 per barrel  (year 2000) and over the next decade climbed inexorably to a peak of about $150.

crisis started in 2014 -2016, oil prices  decreased  $ 75 to $50 , GDP  value back to $1.2 trillion ... Russia still a Oil based country.... If  it continue ,GDP may back to $1trillion or less.....  Oil Price Volatility Is Hurting Russia's Economy.


Future Trends of Global oil market

Accroding to Stanford economist Tony Seba ,Electric vehicles will kill global oil industry by 2030.

I think Economic diversification nasseary in Russia.Oil based Economy to manu-facturing,tourism  and Agricultural. 

We know in 1960s and 1970s, the country that was the big growth story due to high demand in oil.we know at that time, Its space program grew; its military program grew; and it became much more industrialized. 

But in 80s global oil consumption slowed ,which  stoped the amazing growth story of Soviet . The Soviet Union became the Former Soviet Union in late 1991.


Russia Economy under president Vladimir Putin.

1◆Quality of life increased almost triple -Before Putin’s election, Russia had a $9,889 GDP per capita by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). The figure had almost tripled by 2017 reached $27,900.

The average nominal monthly wage has grown almost 11-fold from $61 to $652. Unemployment has contracted from 13 percent to 5.2 percent. Pensions have grown over 1,000 percent in the same period from $20 to $221.

2◆Russian gold reserves have increased by more than 500 percent since 2000.

3◆ Russian foreign reserves increased  $12.5 billion(year 2000) to $530 billion...has grown almost 42 fold.

4◆ Reforms in Banking sector#Healthy and robust banking system is important for the health of the modern economy.

reforms in Banking sector one of the major steps under putin govt,in 1990s thousands of small bank were set up in Russia ,now the number of bank fallen from  4500 to 500 today ,reforms make easier to regulate.

5◆ poverty rate decline  from 29% in 2000 to 10.7% in 2012. 

6◆Ease of doing business rank has improved,Ranked 31 in 2018 from Ranked 124 in 2010.


Needs to focus on Tourism 

Russia has huge potential in Tourism.....tourism industry  could contribute 15% to GDP, but current level 4%.

Needs to focus on  R&D 

Russia currently spends around 1% of its national income on R&D needs at least 2.5 %. 

Needs to focus on SMEs

The contribution of small and medium-sized businesses to GDP is only 20%, needs at least 40%.

Small Businesses contributes  50%,57%,60% and 70%  of U.S.,Germany, China and Japan Economy. 

The above fig shows  In developed countries small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) generate about a half of the GDP and jobs.


Regional wise special Economic policy needs

Regionaldisparity high in Russia,needs regional wise special Economic policies. 

Russia has huge potential, i think Economic diversification could boost Russia's Economy..... Russia could reach USD  5 trillion in next 6-7 years.


------------------

References 

◆energi.media >Electric vehicles will kill global oil industry by 2030, says Stanford economist.

◆Oil Prices And The Fall Of The Soviet Union www.businessinsider.com 11-Aug-2011.

◆Russia is in trouble as energy prices fall |Financial Times>09-Aug-2015 ·


Saturday, 15 August 2020

Renewable energy can Ensure Fourth Industrial Revolution.


Renewable energy can Ensure  Fourth Industrial Revolution.

 ✔Renewable energy can Ensure High Per Capita Income.

Renewable energy can ensure global peace and prosperity.

 ✔Renewable Energy Could Save $160 Trillion In Climate Change Costs by 2050.

The International Renewable Energy Agency( IRENA) predicts that within the next two years, solar and wind projects will be able to deliver electricity for as little as $0.03(Rs 2.1) per kWh......right now per kWh rate in Germany  ($0.34/Rs 24),Japan  ($0.29),France  ($0.19),usa ($0.15

in India,according to  The Energy and Resources Institute ( TERI ) Solar energy cost to fall to Rs 1.9 ($0.02) per unit  and wind Rs 2.3 per unit  by 2030. ..coal could be expensive Rs 4.85- RS 6.98 per kWh by 2030.


Key points in favour of Renewable Energy

✔ 1) #Half the World to Face Severe Water Stress by 2030.#Renewable energy can save trillion gallons  of  water every year #

Coal power plants use enough water to supply the needs of 1 billion 0r 100cr people and that will almost double if all the world’s planned power plants come online.

According to  U.S. Geological Survey estimates that thermoelectric plants withdrew 195 billion gallons of water per day in 2000, of which 136 billion gallons(3.7 Liter=one gallon) was fresh water.

So,Water scarcity is another risk for non-renewable power plants. Coal, nuclear, and many natural gas plants depend on having sufficient water for cooling, which means that severe droughts and heat waves can put electricity generation at risk. Wind and solar photovoltaic systems do not require water to generate electricity .

✔2) Renewable energy  can save multi billion of dollars electric bill.

#Example -

Renewable  Energy Can Save Business Money.Renewable energy  can save billion  of dollars in energy costs over several years.

The Googleplex headquarters in Mountain View California has over 9,212 solar panels ,capacity 1.6 MW,roughly the equivalent of 1,000 California homes...this installation saves Google $393,000 (Rs 3 cr ) in electricity every year.

We know every company want to reduce their Operating Cost In Business and want to  increase their profits..... I think renewal energy can ensure high profits.

_________

Referances 

•Coal plants use as much water as 1 billion people and consumption set to double  if all the world’s planned power plants come online.22-Mar-2016 · Coal/www.theguardian.com

•Egypt receives two bids under $0.03/kWh in 200 MW solar tender – pv magazine ...07-Aug-2018.

•Two-fifths of global coal power stations operating at loss -www.power-technology.com ›30-Nov-2018.

•Renewables May Prove Cheaper Than 96% of Coal Plants Worldwide by 2030.29-Nov-2018 ·greentechmedia.com

Thursday, 13 August 2020

India Needs Speed Revolution to attain 10-12% GDP growth.


INDIA NEEDS SPEED REVOLUTION TO ATTAIN 10-12% GDP GROWTH.

■⤭ा⤰⤤ ā¤Žें ⤗⤤ि ⤕्⤰ां⤤ि ⤕ी ⤆ā¤ĩā¤ļ्⤝⤕⤤ा ā¤šै■ ā¤‰ā¤š्⤚ ⤗⤤ि ⤕े ā¤Ŧि⤍ा ⤭ा⤰⤤ $5 ⤟्⤰ि⤞ि⤝⤍ ⤅⤰्ā¤Ĩā¤ĩ्⤝ā¤ĩ⤏्ā¤Ĩा ā¤šा⤏ि⤞ ā¤¨ā¤šीं ⤕⤰ ⤏⤕⤤ा ā¤šै ā¤ĩ⤰्⤎ 2024  ⤤⤕ ■ ⤭ा⤰⤤ ā¤Žें ā¤Žा⤞⤗ाā¤Ą़ि⤝ों ⤕ी ⤔⤏⤤ ⤗⤤ि  24 ⤕िā¤Žी ā¤Ē्⤰⤤ि ⤘ं⤟ा ,⤝ा⤤्⤰ी ⤟्⤰े⤍ें 44 ⤕िā¤Žी ā¤Ē्⤰⤤ि ⤘ं⤟ा.


✅India should go for high-speed Rail network without high speed India can't achieve $5 trillion economy by 2024.


Indian Railways is often called the lifeline of the nation#✔Average speed of freight trains is 24 km per hour whereas passenger trains run at 44 km per hour# Indian Railways transported over 1223 million tonnes of freight in FY19#Indian Railways carries over  25 million passengers daily.


✔High speed rail network #Bullet Train  project will transform India’s economy to $5 trillion by 2024 ....$12 trillion Economy by 2030.


India needs  bullet train services (Per capita income three times higher than national average).


✅1]🚅]Kolkata-➡️Bhubaneswar-

Vishakapatnam-Vijayawada--Chennai-

➡️Bangalor(1900km).

   Vijawada-Hyderabad.

✅2] 🚅Mumbai-➡️Nashik➡️Nagpur (810km).

✅3]🚅Delhi ➡️Agra - lucknow ➡️varanasi (780 km).

✅4]🚅Ongoing project  Mumbai ➡️Ahamdabad (500km).


Above mention places has huge potential (Per capita income three times higher than national average.)


ECONOMIC  BENEFITS HIGH SPEED RAIL NETWORK ■


High speed rail network has  many layers of Economic benefits. High speed rail network can boost  -GDP, per capita income, manufacturing sector,Agrarian, tourism industry, FDI, reduce transport cost up to 300%, reduce Oil Import bill , increase standard of living...etc.

1.✔HSR can contribute10-12 % to GDP.HSR  can boost -Agriculture,manufacturing,

Service sector, tourism,logistics & FDI.

2.✔HSR can reduces Oil Import bill,india can save multi billions dollars .india's crude oil import bill Rs 8.75 Lakh crores ( $125 billion) in 2018-19,increased 42% from $88 billion in 2017-18. If its continues at current rate ,In  next 2-3 years india's crude oil import bill may hit $357 billion/25 lakh crore.

According to the International union of Railways (UIC), high-speed rail is eight times more energy efficient than airplanes and four times more efficient than automobile. It will also decrease greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality. 

3. ✔High speed rail (HSR)can boostTourism Industry.Chinese provinces with HSR services received 30% more international tourists and 35% more revenue than those without them.

4.✔When Japan launched its first bullet train in 1964, its per capita GDP was only  $835.... When China launched its high speed trains in 2008, its per capita GDP was $3,300. Now, Japan's per capita GDP is over $ 38,000(45×835), China's is over $10000(3×3300).

5.✔High speed rail network can generate  millions of good jobs....can generate middle class...can boost automobile industry ,real estate,FDI ....etc 

6.✔towns connected to a new high-speed line saw their GDP rise by at least 10% compared to neighbours not on the route.

7.✔HSR Increases Economic Activity:Every $1 invested  can generate  $8-$10 economic activity


THE IMPACT OF BULLET  TRAIN IN  CHINA

China went through massive development phase in the last decades becoming the second largest economy, China faced the same dilemma as India whether to increase the speed of its tracks or go for the construction of bullet trains.


But China began bull Train services on April 18, 2008...China becomes world's largest bullet-train network 25000km.... the network will soon reach a total length  30,000km.

At the same time( 2008-18 )China Economy grew more than 3 fold  ,From $4 trillion to $13 trillion.

At the same time  FDI flows in China  grew $82 billion to $330 billion.. over four fold.

So, I think India needs speed Revolution,as early as possible.

___________________

Referance-

Average speed of freight trains is 24 km per hour whereas passenger trains run at 44 km per hour. The Economic Times 31-May-2018

Wednesday, 5 August 2020

W🌐rld Needs a New Development Bank - SAARC Agricultural Development Bank.



W🌐rld needs a Large  International Bank -SAARC Agricultural Development Bank.

The  Bank will be india's biggest international brand.

Asia has a massive Agricultural Funding Gap.
Asia's food and agricultural industry will need additional investments of USD 800 billion over next decade to grow to a sustainable size and reach a point where it can feed itself.
 So,Asia Needs a New Agricultural  Development Bank  ,india lead SAARC Agricultural Development Bank.


The bank can change Asia's agricultural growth story.
SAARC Agricultural  Development  Bank: will be "Bank of the century" #will be india's biggest international brand.
#SAARC Agricultural Development Bank  can lead Industrial Revolution in Asia#
#SAARC Agricultural Development Bank can boost  UN Sustainable Development Goals.Peace ,prosperity & Stability. 

More than 2.2 billion (220 crore)people in Asia depends  on agriculture for their livelihoods. ✅#India can build  a new bank  #SAARC Agricultural Development Bank(HQ India ) #This initiative can change Asia's agricultural growth story. Saarc agricultural bank  can reduce poverty in the Asian region,can boost  agricultural productivity and inovation, rural housing,rural infrastructure and  renewable energy.
Saarc agricultural bank can boost rural employment  through  small-scale industries, cottage and village industries, handicrafts and other rural crafts and other allied economic activities in rural areas.
I think Saarc Agricultural  Development Bank will be more effective ...can boost farmers income...can improve living standard in rural areas ...can leads industrial revolution in Asian.
SAARC Agricultural Development Bank can ensure Economic growth, Food Security,Peace, prosperity &  Stability.
SAARC Agricultural Development Bank can boost  UN Sustainable Development Goals.



-----------------------
Ref-Agriculture Remains Central to the World Economy. 60% of the Population Depends on Agriculture for Survival | ExpoNet - Expo 2015.

Friday, 31 July 2020

The Russian Miracle (Đ ĐžŅŅĐ¸Ņ Đ§ŅƒĐ´o) :- Russiya is going to launch world's first Covid-19 vaccine by Aug 10.

The Russian Miracle
-  (
Đ ĐžŅŅĐ¸Ņ Đ§ŅƒĐ´o) Rossiya is going to launch world's first Covid-19 vaccine by Aug 10.

We know several countries battleing for Covid-19 vaccine, but good news for us ,Russia is going to launch world's first Covid-19 vaccine by August 10.

"Russian officials told CNN they are working toward a date of August 10 or earlier for approval of the vaccine, which has been created by the Moscow-based Gamaleya Institute,"

"Americans were surprised when they heard Sputnik's beeping. It's the same with this vaccine. Russia will have got there first,".

Global scenario of COVID-19

Globally coronavirus case -18 Million 
                                        Deaths -683000.
In Rossiya-839981 case and 13963 deaths. 


āϰাāĻļিāϝ়াāύ āĻŽিāϰাāĻ•āϞ-  āϰāϏিāϝ়া ā§§0 āφāĻ—āϏ্āϟেāϰ āĻŽāϧ্āϝে āĻĒ্āϰāĻĨāĻŽ āĻ•োāĻ­িāĻĄ -⧧⧝ āϟিāĻ•া āϚাāϞু āĻ•āϰāϤে āϚāϞেāĻ›ে।
āφāĻŽāϰা āϜাāύি āϝে āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦেāϰ āĻŦেāĻļ āĻ•āϝ়েāĻ•āϟি āĻĻেāĻļ  āĻ•োāĻ­িāĻĄ -⧧⧝ āĻ­্āϝাāĻ•āϏিāύেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āϞāĻĄ়াāχ āĻ•āϰāĻ›ে, āϤāĻŦে āφāĻŽাāĻĻেāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āϏুāϏংāĻŦাāĻĻ, āϰাāĻļিāϝ়া ā§§0 āφāĻ—āϏ্āϟেāϰ āĻŽāϧ্āϝে āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦেāϰ āĻĒ্āϰāĻĨāĻŽ āĻ•োāĻ­িāĻĄ -⧧⧝ āĻ­্āϝাāĻ•āϏিāύ āϚাāϞু āĻ•āϰāϤে āϚāϞেāĻ›ে।āĻ•āϰোāύাāϰ āĻĒ্āϰāϤিāώেāϧāĻ•েāϰ āĻšিāωāĻŽ্āϝাāύ āϟ্āϰা⧟াāϞেāϰ āϏāĻĢāϞ āĻĒ্āϰ⧟োāĻ— āĻ•āϰে āĻ—োāϟা āĻŦিāĻļ্āĻŦāĻ•ে āϤাāĻ• āϞাāĻ—ি⧟ে āĻĻি⧟েāĻ›েāύ āϰুāĻļ āĻŦিāϜ্āĻžাāύীāϰা। 

āϰাāĻļি⧟াāϰ āĻ—াāĻŽাāϞেāχ āχāύ্āϏāϟিāϟিāωāϟ āĻ…āĻŦ āĻāĻĒিāĻĄেāĻŽোāϞāϜি āĻ…্āϝাāύ্āĻĄ āĻŽাāχāĻ•্āϰোāĻŦা⧟োāϞāϜি āĻ•āϰোāύাāϰ āĻāχ āĻĒ্āϰāϤিāώেāϧāĻ•āϟি āφāĻŦিāώ্āĻ•াāϰ āĻ•āϰেāĻ›ে।āĻāχ āϏাāĻĢāϞ্āϝ āύি⧟ে āϝāĻĨেāώ্āϟ āφāĻļাāĻŦাāĻĻী āϰুāĻļ āϏāϰāĻ•াāϰāĻ“,
āĻ•āϰোāύাāϰ āϤিāύ āĻ•োāϟি āĻĄোāϜ āĻ­্āϝাāĻ•āϏিāύ āĻ‰ā§ŽāĻĒাāĻĻāύেāϰ āĻĒāϰিāĻ•āϞ্āĻĒāύা āύি⧟েāĻ›ে āϰাāĻļি⧟া āϏāϰāĻ•াāϰ। āĻāĻ›া⧜াāĻ“ āĻĒৃāĻĨিāĻŦীāϰ āĻ…āύ্āϝাāύ্āϝ āĻĻেāĻļে āϰāĻĢāϤাāύিāϰ āϜāύ্āϝ āφāϰো ā§§ā§­ āĻ•োāϟি āĻ•āϰোāύাāϰ āĻ­্āϝাāĻ•āϏিāύ āĻ‰ā§ŽāĻĒাāĻĻāύেāϰ āϞāĻ•্āώ্āϝāĻŽাāϤ্āϰা āύি⧟েāĻ›ে ।




Thursday, 30 July 2020

WE CAN END GL🌐BAL POVERTY by 2030.

 ✅We can End Gl🌐bal Poverty by 2030 .

✅Here's a Sustainable Solution for ending Gl🌐bal Poverty by 2030.



It will be possible through -
(1)REGION WISE ECONOMIC  POLICY  
(2)✔ AGRICULTURAL REFORMS 
(3) ✔RENEWABLE ENERGY.



1)REGION WISE ECONOMIC  POLICY  
Regional Disparity  one of the major challenge for Sustainable Development.
only regiion wise development   program can uplift poverty stricken area ....can uplift human development index....can reduce regional disparity.

Regional  Disparity much more in India ($2.7 trillion) than 1st and 2nd largest Economy,USA ($21 trillion) and China ($12trillion).
In the USA , GDP ratio  is  2-1 between Top - poor .
Top New York (GDP capita $79,000),middle (pennsylvania,$60,000) and  the poorest (Mississippi, per capita $38,000).
In China the GDP  ratio is 4-1 between Top - Poor provinces .
Top Beijing (per capita $20,000),middle Inner Mongolia  (per capita $10,000) and poorest  Gansu (per capita $4,800). 
In India, the ratio is near 10-1 between Top-poor state. 
Top Goa (per capita $ 5700) ,middle  karnataka ($2700), poorest Bihar ($610).
I think regional wise special Economic Policy can end poverty. 

2) AGRICULTURAL REFORMS
Still approximately 65 crore(650 million)people in india depends on Agricultural sector.But the sector is in big crisis,due to low growth rate and low farm income.
India’s Agriculture is going to be a sunrise sector of 21st century.
We know  more production does not mean more income for the farmers....could hamper Demand-Supply theory.

My personal analysis is that,india needs a supply side reforms  and  focus on demand side in Agrarian sector. ....as early as possible.

This simple  idea could change  Service sector, Agriculture sector and manufacturing sector for Ever.
India could generate  approx 1cr new Employment  per year and Farmers income could increase three fold by 2024-25. Strongly believe that Agricultural Reforms can ply a crucial role in poverty eradication and employment generation.

#Major benefits of Agricultural Reforms#

I would like to share some key points.

GROWTH :-
a#Agricultural sector  Needs Supply side Reforms and focus on Demand side.
Agrarian sector can grow  10-15% annually# over three fold.
b#GDP growth could be over 10% annually( forecast to 7% for 2019-20).
C #Agricultural growth has strong growth linkages to other economic sectors(industry and services). When agricultural incomes are spent on domestic market,  it stimulates demand for domestic industry and services#

✔FUND GENERATION :-
My projection is that 
#supply side Reform,Focus on Demand side initiatives can save  Multi billion dollar annually.
a)Reforms can reduce multi  billion-dollar  Post-harvest losses  and Agri import bill.
b)Reforms can save multi  billion-dollar Fuel -Electricity -NPAs in Farm loans -Fertilizer-Seeds- Pesticides by cutting waste.
c)Reforms can boost agri export,can generate  billion dollar revenues. 
d)can help to reduces excessive water consumption- farmer suicides -agririon riots - fiscal deficit.
supply side reforms - focus on Demand side  initiatives, direct- indirectly
could generate ADDITIONAL FUNDS  of ($130 BN-$150BN ) Rs 9 Lakh -10 lakh crore annually ,could generate 20 times economic activities. 

EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES  & INCOME:-
a#This additional fund could generate nearly 10 MILLIONS NEW EMPLOYMENT annually ,with Minimum Salary Rs 15,000 /month, could  build upto  1000 km Highspeed Rail network annually,could increase fund in Health-Education-Socoial security. 
b.#farmers income will be triple by 2024-25 due to focus on demand side,that could boost  export.
c.india has huge potential to become a  High Middle income country ,per capita income  could reach  $ 4500 from $2000  by 2024-25.
Only supply side reforms and focus on demand side can grow india.
india could see a sharp increase in Farmers income ,may be three fold by 2024-25.
India can  see sharp increase in service and manufacturing sectors. Sharp increase in Employment and sharp decline in poverty.  per capita GDP will be $8000 by 2030 ,indian Economy could touch $ 12 trillion by 2030.

3) RENEWABLE ENERGY

According to UN more than 700 million people still live in extrem poverty & struggling to fulfil the most basic needs like health, education, water and sanitation. 

According to UN more than half of the extreme poor live in #Sub-Saharan Africa#. In fact, the number of poor in the region increased by 9 million, with 413 million people living on less than US$1.90 a day in 2015, more than all the other regions combined. If the trend continues, by 2030, nearly 9 out of 10 extreme poor will be in Sub-Saharan Africa......matter of deep concern. 

We know UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)7 aims to ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all by 2030.
But Progress Too Slow to meet the global energy targets for 2030 set as part of the Sustainable Development Goals.

SDG7 report warns 650 million people  could lack electricity access by  2030 and  nine out of 10 of them living in sub-Saharan Africa.
Current situation  A person living in a remote village in northern Nigeria spends 60 to 80 times more to purchase a unit of electricity than somebody living in New York.
Nigeria’s unreliable power supply is a major hindrance to Nigeria’s economic growth....
 unreliable electricity costs its economy $29 billion per annum.
I think ,Renewable energy could solve this..... renewable energy cost is the lowest than other. The International Renewable Energy Agency( IRENA) predicts that within the next two years, solar and wind projects will be able to deliver electricity for as little as $0.03 per kWh......right now per kWh rate Germany  ($0.34),Japan  ($0.29),France  ($0.19),usa ($0.15).

 in India,according to  The Energy and Resources Institute ( TERI ) Solar energy cost to fall to Rs 1.9 ($0.02) per unit  and wind Rs 2.3 per unit  by 2030. ..coal could be expensive Rs 4.85- RS 6.98 per kWh by 2030.
so, renewal energy necessary,renewable energy cost is the lowest than other .
Renewal energy can ensure high per capita income....can increase household savings.

So,We needs to focus on (1) REGIONAL DISPARITY  (2) AGRICULTURAL REFORMS (3) RENEWABLE ENERGY.
Strongly believe that we  can ensure Economic growth, peace,zero hunger  and a stable society . Also believe that UN,Sustainable  Development Goals  will Possible Before 2030. Also  belive  that standard of living of  7.7 billion people in the world will be  improve before 2030.
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